Saturday, December 8, 2012

West Virginia Emerges as First 2014 Senate Race to Watch | Reduction

West Virginia Emerges as First 2014 Senate Race to Watch

Westerschelde vanaf stadhuis terneuzen
Westerschelde vanaf stadhuis terneuzen by Meisje van de Slijterij
License (according to Flickr): Attribution License
Excerpt:

2 big stars who have a long-standing household drama could possibly face-off in West Virginia in November, 2014, making the Mountain State's senate race for the seat held by incumbent Jay Rockefeller the first must-watched senate race of 2014. Yes, the midterm elections in 2014 are still about two years away, and numerous even more Senate, gubernatorial and House races will certainly become races to follow between now and then. However the statement by Republican Rep. Shelley Moore Capito that she will certainly run for Senate in West Virginia jump-started the first contest. Capito, 59, is a six-term Congresswoman for the state's 2nd congressional district. She's the first Republican female elected to represent the state, and from her first term in 2001 until 2010 she was the only Republican in the state's congressional delegation. The seat Capito is finding is presently held by Democratic Sen.

People:

Republican Rep. Shelley Moore Capito

Overall Sentiment: 0.0254182

Relevance: 0.919059

Disambiguation: OperaCharacterReferences:

Sen. Jay Rockefeller

Overall Sentiment: 0.0783786

Relevance: 0.791913

Rockefeller

Overall Sentiment: -0.154412

Relevance: 0.611454

Gov. Arch Moore

Overall Sentiment: -0.408194

Relevance: 0.358409

Disambiguation: Politician | Governor | U.S.CongresspersonReferences:

Natalie Tennant

Overall Sentiment: 0.0463911

Relevance: 0.302495

Neil Berch

Overall Sentiment: -0.0295097

Relevance: 0.301322

SentimentQuote
0“If he does decide to seek re-election it’s one of the marquee races of 2014,” says Neil Berch, ...
0“If he does decide to seek re-election it’s one of the marquee races of 2014,” says Neil Berch, associate professor of politics at West Virginia University. “He probably is somewhat more liberal than the state, Capito is probably somewhat more conservative than the state on economic issues. They’re both really strong candidates, they both would raise a ton of money, and I think it would be one of the biggest Senate races of that cycle.”
0.10457“Near the top of the list would be the governor, Earl Ray Tomblin, but I don’t know that he has an interest in being in Washington. Secretary of State Natalie Tennant would also be a strong candidate,” Berch said. ...
0.0768268“Near the top of the list would be the governor, Earl Ray Tomblin, but I don’t know that he has an interest in being in Washington. Secretary of State Natalie Tennant would also be a strong candidate,” Berch said. “Tennant is clearly grooming herself for something bigger, and that would be a marquee race also.”
0.0334468“She’ll probably face a primary, but I don’t know who they’d put up,” said Berch.
-0.235677“She’ll probably face a primary, but I don’t know who they’d put up,” said Berch. “A tea-party candidate who could beat her in a primary would be at a disadvantage in the general election against whomever. Clearly Capito is the most electable Republican.”
Sentiment Stats:
  • Number of Quotes: 6
  • Aggregate Sentiment: -0.0208334
  • Mean: -0.0034722333333333
  • Standard Deviation: 1.7320508075689

Earl Ray Tomblin

Overall Sentiment: 0.0928237

Relevance: 0.239514

Sen. Jim DeMint

Overall Sentiment: 0.147584

Relevance: 0.189712

Disambiguation: Politician | Senator | U.S.CongresspersonReferences:

Key:

  • Aggregate Sentiment is meant to be an indicator of an individual's overall sentiment.
  • The Mean is meant to be an indicator of an individual's average comment sentiment.
  • The Standard Deviation, when there are enough quotes, will indicate an individual's consistency of sentiment (i.e. a Standard Deviation of 0 would mean they were very consistent in their sentiment and 1 would mean they were very inconsistent).

Note that quote stats are likely to be meaningless beyond the aggregate score due to the tiny sample size. However, they are always provided just in case you find something useful there.

Additional Info:

StateOrCounty: Mountain State

Overall Sentiment: 0.0438637

Relevance: 0.506685

Disambiguation: Location | PoliticalDistrict | AdministrativeDivision | GovernmentalJurisdiction | USStateReferences:

Organization: Senate

Overall Sentiment: -0.0150269

Relevance: 0.621965

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